Rational decisions

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Rational decisions / Ken Binmore

資料種別:: 図書
出版情報:: Princeton : Princeton University Press, c2009
形態:: x, 200 p. ; 24 cm
シリーズ名:: The Gorman lectures in economics / series editor, Richard Blundell <BA67149026>
著者名:: Binmore, Ken <DA0069417X>
ISBN:: 9780691130743 [0691130744]
書誌ID:: BA89094700

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注記:

Includes bibliographical references (p. [189]-196) and index

主題:

Bayesian statistical decision theory; Statistical decision

言語:

英語

目次情報:

Preface

Revealed Preference / 1：

Rationality? / 1.1：

Modeling a Decision Problem / 1.2：

Reason Is the Slave of the Passions / 1.3：

Lessons from Aesop / 1.4：

Rationality and Evolution / 1.5：

Utility / 1.7：

Challenging Transitivity / 1.8：

Causal Utility Fallacy / 1.9：

Positive and Normative / 1.10：

Game Theory / 2：

Introduction / 2.1：

What Is a Game? / 2.2：

Paradox of Rationality? / 2.3：

Newcomb's Problem / 2.4：

Extensive Form of a Game / 2.5：

Risk / 3：

Risk and Uncertainty / 3.1：

Von Neumann and Morgenstern / 3.2：

The St Petersburg Paradox / 3.3：

Expected Utility Theory / 3.4：

Paradoxes from A to Z / 3.5：

Utility Scales / 3.6：

Attitudes to Risk / 3.7：

Unbounded Utility? / 3.8：

Positive Applications? / 3.9：

Utilitarianism / 4：

Revealed Preference in Social Choice / 4.1：

Traditional Approaches to Utilitarianism / 4.2：

Intensity of Preference / 4.3：

Interpersonal Comparison of Utility / 4.4：

Classical Probability / 5：

Origins / 5.1：

Measurable Sets / 5.2：

Kolmogorov's Axioms / 5.3：

Probability on the Natural Numbers / 5.4：

Conditional Probability / 5.5：

Upper and Lower Probabilities / 5.6：

Frequency / 6：

Interpreting Classical Probability / 6.1：

Randomizing Devices / 6.2：

Richard von Mises / 6.3：

Refining von Mises' Theory / 6.4：

Totally Muddling Boxes / 6.5：

Bayesian Decision Theory / 7：

Subjective Probability / 7.1：

Savage's Theory / 7.2：

Dutch Books / 7.3：

Bayesian Updating / 7.4：

Constructing Priors / 7.5：

Bayesian Reasoning in Games / 7.6：

Epistemology / 8：

Knowledge / 8.1：

Bayesian Epistemology / 8.2：

Information Sets / 8.3：

Knowledge in a Large World / 8.4：

Revealed Knowledge? / 8.5：

Large Worlds / 9：

Complete Ignorance / 9.1：

Extending Bayesian Decision Theory / 9.2：

Muddled Strategies in Game Theory / 9.3：

Conclusion / 9.4：

Mathematical Notes / 10：

Compatible Preferences / 10.1：

Hausdorff's Paradox of the Sphere / 10.2：

Conditioning on Zero-Probability Events / 10.3：

Applying the Hahn-Banach Theorem / 10.4：

Muddling Boxes / 10.5：

Solving a Functional Equation / 10.6：

Additivity / 10.7：

Muddled Equilibria in Game Theory / 10.8：

References

Index

Preface

Revealed Preference / 1：

Rationality? / 1.1：

Modeling a Decision Problem / 1.2：

Reason Is the Slave of the Passions / 1.3：

Lessons from Aesop / 1.4：

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