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Series Editor's Introduction

Acknowledgments

Dynamic Models and Social Change / 1.：

Difference Equations as Representations of Change

Synchronic versus Diachronic Change

Dynamic Models and Other Models of Change

The Structure of the Presentation

First-Order Linear Difference Equation Models: A Model of the Mobilization Process / 2.：

A First Dynamic Model: The Gain/Loss Formulation

Difference Equations as Representative of Change

Solutions to First-Order Difference Equations

Equilibrium and Stability

Substantive Applications

Model Estimation

Summary

First-Order Nonlinear Difference Equations: Processes of Social Diffusion / 3.：

Mobilization Through Social Interaction

A Diffusion Model

Parameter Restrictions

An Empirical Example

Analyzing the Model

Equilibrium Analysis

Local Stability Analysis

Global Stability Analysis for Quadratic Recursive Forms

Linear Systems and Higher-Order Equations: Arms Races and Feedback Processes / 4.：

Higher-Order Models

The Richardson Arms Race Model

Arriving at a Second-Order Reduced Form

Putting the Arms Race in Matrix Notation

Finding the System Equilibrium

Solutions for Higher-Order Systems

Putting the Solution to Work

Stability Conditions

The Geometry of Stability: An Alternative Approach

Feedback Time Delay as a Destabilizing Influence

Nonlinear Dynamic Systems: Budgetary Competition / 5.：

Incrementalism

Competitive Models of Budgetary Interaction

The Logic of Competition

Unrestrained Budgetary Competition / Model 1：

Restricted Competition / Model 2：

Conclusion

Dynamic Modeling as a Scientific Enterprise / 6.：

An Overview of Model Structure

Multiple and Interdependent System States

Structural Parameters

System Properties

Steps in Model Development

Appendix

Notes

References

Introduction: What this Book Is All About

The Universe as a Stereo Movie

Physical Dynamics and Evolution

Population Dynamics

Ecological Dynamics

Biological Evolution

Societal Evolution: The General Pattern

The Threat System

Exchange as a Social Organizer

The Integrative System

An Evolutionary Interpretation of History

Power in Society

Dialectics and Evolution

Series Editor's Introduction

Acknowledgments

Dynamic Models and Social Change / 1.：

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