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1.

図書

図書
edited by Thomas Gilovich, Dale Griffin, Daniel Kahneman
出版情報: Cambridge [U.K.] ; New York : Cambridge University Press, 2002  xvi, 857 p. ; 24 cm
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目次情報: 続きを見る
List of Contributors
Preface
Introduction - Heuristics and Biases: Then and Now / Thomas Gilovich ; Dale Griffin
Theoretical and Empirical Extensions / Part 1.:
Representativeness and Availability / A.:
Extensional versus Intuitive Reasoning: The Conjunction Fallacy in Probability Judgment / Amos Tversky ; Daniel Kahneman1:
Representativeness Revisited: Attribute Substitution in Intuitive Judgment / Shane Frederick2:
How Alike Is It? versus How Likely Is It?: A Disjunction Fallacy in Probability Judgments / Maya Bar-Hillel ; Efrat Neter3:
Imagining Can Heighten or Lower the Perceived Likelihood of Contracting a Disease: The Mediating Effect of Ease of Imagery / Steven J. Sherman ; Robert B. Cialdini ; Donna F. Schwartzman ; Kim D. Reynolds4:
The Availability Heuristic Revisited: Ease of Recall and Content of Recall as Distinct Sources of Information / Norbert Schwarz ; Leigh Ann Vaughn5:
Anchoring, Contamination, and Compatibility / B.:
Incorporating the Irrelevant: Anchors in Judgments of Belief and Value / Gretchen B. Chapman ; Eric J. Johnson6:
Putting Adjustment Back in the Anchoring and Adjustment Heuristic / Nicholas Epley7:
Self-Anchoring in Conversation: Why Language Users Do Not Do What They "Should" / Boaz Keysar ; Dale J. Barr8:
Inferential Correction / Daniel T. Gilbert9:
Mental Contamination and the Debiasing Problem / Timothy D. Wilson ; David B. Centerbar ; Nancy Brekke10:
Sympathetic Magical Thinking: The Contagion and Similarity "Heuristics" / Paul Rozin ; Carol Nemeroff11:
Compatibility Effects in Judgment and Choice / Paul Slovic12:
Forecasting, Confidence, and Calibration / C.:
The Weighing of Evidence and the Determinants of Confidence / 13:
Inside the Planning Fallacy: The Causes and Consequences of Optimistic Time Predictions / Roger Buehler ; Michael Ross14:
Probability Judgment across Cultures / J. Frank Yates ; Ju-Whei Lee ; Winston R. Sieck ; Incheol Choi ; Paul C. Price15:
Durability Bias in Affective Forecasting / Elizabeth C. Pinel ; Stephen J. Blumberg ; Thalia P. Wheatley16:
Optimism / D.:
Resistance of Personal Risk Perceptions to Debiasing Interventions / Neil D. Weinstein ; William M. Klein17:
Ambiguity and Self-Evaluation: The Role of Idiosyncratic Trait Definitions in Self-Serving Assessments of Ability / David Dunning ; Judith A. Meyerowitz ; Amy D. Holzberg18:
When Predictions Fail: The Dilemma of Unrealistic Optimism / David A. Armor ; Shelley E. Taylor19:
Norms and Counterfactuals / E.:
Norm Theory: Comparing Reality to Its Alternatives / Dale T. Miller20:
Counterfactual Thought, Regret, and Superstition: How to Avoid Kicking Yourself / Brian R. Taylor21:
New Theoretical Directions / Part 2.:
Two Systems of Reasoning
The Affect Heuristic / Steven A. Sloman ; Melissa Finucane ; Ellen Peters ; Donald G. MacGregor22:
Individual Differences in Reasoning: Implications for the Rationality Debate? / Keith E. Stanovich ; Richard F. West24:
Support Theory
Support Theory: A Nonextensional Representation of Subjective Probability / Derek J. Koehler25:
Unpacking, Repacking, and Anchoring: Advances in Support Theory / Yuval Rottenstreich26:
Remarks on Support Theory: Recent Advances and Future Directions / Lyle A. Brenner27:
Alternative Perspectives on Heuristics
The Use of Statistical Heuristics in Everyday Inductive Reasoning / Richard E. Nisbett ; David H. Krantz ; Christopher Jepson ; Ziva Kunda28:
Feelings as Information: Moods Influence Judgments and Processing Strategies / 29:
Automated Choice Heuristics / 30:
How Good Are Fast and Frugal Heuristics? / Gerd Gigerenzer ; Jean Czerlinski ; Laura Martignon31:
Intuitive Politicians, Theologians, and Prosecutors: Exploring the Empirical Implications of Deviant Functionalist Metaphors / Philip E. Tetlock32:
Real-World Applications / Part 3.:
Everyday Judgment and Behavior
The Hot Hand in Basketball: on the Misperception of Random Sequences / Robert Vallone33:
Like Goes with Like: The Role of Representativeness in Erroneous and Pseudo-Scientific Beliefs / Kenneth Savitsky34:
When Less Is More: Counterfactual Thinking and Satisfaction among Olympic Medalists / Victoria Husted Medvec ; Scott F. Madey35:
Understanding Misunderstanding: Social Psychological Perspectives / Emily Pronin ; Carolyn Puccio ; Lee Ross36:
Expert Judgment
Assessing Uncertainty in Physical Constants / Max Henrion ; Baruch Fischhoff37:
Do Analysts Overreact? / Werner F.M. De Bondt ; Richard H. Thaler38:
The Calibration of Expert Judgment: Heuristics and Biases Beyond the Laboratory / Lyle Brenner39:
Clinical versus Actuarial Judgment / Robyn M. Dawes ; David Faust ; Paul E. Meehl40:
Heuristics and Biases in Application / 41:
Theory-Driven Reasoning about Plausible Pasts and Probable Futures in World Politics / 42:
References
Index
Notes on contributors
List of abbreviations
The framework / Part I:
An introduction to the issues / Sheldon Leader
The linkages between project finance and sustainable development / Annie Dufey ; Maryanne Grieg-Gran
Project finance and the relevant human rights / Ozgur Can Kahale
Applying international environmental principles to project-financed transnational investment agreements / David Ong
Special topics / Part II:
Risk management, project finance and rights-based development
Freezing the balancing act? Project finance, legal tools to manage regulatory risk, and sustainable development / Lorenzo Cotula
Human rights impact assessments and project finance / Tamara Wiher Fernandez
Project finance investments and political risk: an empirical investigation / Claudia Girardone ; Stuart Snaith
Insurance as a risk management tool: a mitigating or aggravating factor? / Rasmiya Kazimova
Irreparable damage, project finance and access to remedies by third parties / Judith Schonsteiner
Case studies / Part III:
The implications of the Chad-Cameroon and Sakhalin transnational investment agreements for the application of international environmental principles
Project finance arrangements for the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan project: human rights and sustainable development implications
The Orion and CMB pulp plants in Uruguay / Diana Morales
The Newmont and Anglo Gold mining projects / Nil Ashie Kotey ; Poku Adusei
Overview and recommendations
List of Contributors
Preface
Introduction - Heuristics and Biases: Then and Now / Thomas Gilovich ; Dale Griffin
2.

図書

図書
ダニエル・カーネマン著 ; 山内あゆ子訳
出版情報: 東京 : 楽工社, 2011.3  231p ; 20cm
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3.

図書

図書
edited by Daniel Kahneman, Amos Tversky
出版情報: New York : Russell Sage Foundation , Cambridge [U.K.] : Cambridge University Press, 2000  xx, 840 p. ; 24 cm
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4.

図書

図書
Daniel Kahneman
出版情報: London : Penguin, 2012  499 p. ; 20 cm
シリーズ名: Penguin books
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5.

図書

図書
ダニエル・カーネマン著 ; 村井章子訳
出版情報: 東京 : 早川書房, 2014.6  2冊 ; 16cm
シリーズ名: ハヤカワ文庫 ; NF 410-411
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目次情報: 続きを見る
第1部 二つのシステム : 登場するキャラクター
注意と努力
怠け者のコントローラー ほか
第2部 ヒューリスティクスとバイアス : 少数の法則
アンカー
利用可能性ヒューリスティック ほか
第3部 自信過剰 : わかったつもり
妥当性の錯覚
直感対アルゴリズム
第3部 自信過剰 : 承前)(エキスパートの直感は信用できるか
外部情報に基づくアプローチ
資本主義の原動力
第4部 選択 : ベルヌーイの誤り
プロスペクト理論
保有効果
悪い出来事
四分割パターン
めったにない出来事
リスクポリシー
メンタル・アカウンティング
選好の逆転
フレームと客観的事実
第5部 二つの自己 : 二つの自己
人生は物語
「経験する自己」の幸福感
人生について考える
第1部 二つのシステム : 登場するキャラクター
注意と努力
怠け者のコントローラー ほか
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