Preface |
Revealed Preference / 1: |
Rationality? / 1.1: |
Modeling a Decision Problem / 1.2: |
Reason Is the Slave of the Passions / 1.3: |
Lessons from Aesop / 1.4: |
Rationality and Evolution / 1.5: |
Utility / 1.7: |
Challenging Transitivity / 1.8: |
Causal Utility Fallacy / 1.9: |
Positive and Normative / 1.10: |
Game Theory / 2: |
Introduction / 2.1: |
What Is a Game? / 2.2: |
Paradox of Rationality? / 2.3: |
Newcomb's Problem / 2.4: |
Extensive Form of a Game / 2.5: |
Risk / 3: |
Risk and Uncertainty / 3.1: |
Von Neumann and Morgenstern / 3.2: |
The St Petersburg Paradox / 3.3: |
Expected Utility Theory / 3.4: |
Paradoxes from A to Z / 3.5: |
Utility Scales / 3.6: |
Attitudes to Risk / 3.7: |
Unbounded Utility? / 3.8: |
Positive Applications? / 3.9: |
Utilitarianism / 4: |
Revealed Preference in Social Choice / 4.1: |
Traditional Approaches to Utilitarianism / 4.2: |
Intensity of Preference / 4.3: |
Interpersonal Comparison of Utility / 4.4: |
Classical Probability / 5: |
Origins / 5.1: |
Measurable Sets / 5.2: |
Kolmogorov's Axioms / 5.3: |
Probability on the Natural Numbers / 5.4: |
Conditional Probability / 5.5: |
Upper and Lower Probabilities / 5.6: |
Frequency / 6: |
Interpreting Classical Probability / 6.1: |
Randomizing Devices / 6.2: |
Richard von Mises / 6.3: |
Refining von Mises' Theory / 6.4: |
Totally Muddling Boxes / 6.5: |
Bayesian Decision Theory / 7: |
Subjective Probability / 7.1: |
Savage's Theory / 7.2: |
Dutch Books / 7.3: |
Bayesian Updating / 7.4: |
Constructing Priors / 7.5: |
Bayesian Reasoning in Games / 7.6: |
Epistemology / 8: |
Knowledge / 8.1: |
Bayesian Epistemology / 8.2: |
Information Sets / 8.3: |
Knowledge in a Large World / 8.4: |
Revealed Knowledge? / 8.5: |
Large Worlds / 9: |
Complete Ignorance / 9.1: |
Extending Bayesian Decision Theory / 9.2: |
Muddled Strategies in Game Theory / 9.3: |
Conclusion / 9.4: |
Mathematical Notes / 10: |
Compatible Preferences / 10.1: |
Hausdorff's Paradox of the Sphere / 10.2: |
Conditioning on Zero-Probability Events / 10.3: |
Applying the Hahn-Banach Theorem / 10.4: |
Muddling Boxes / 10.5: |
Solving a Functional Equation / 10.6: |
Additivity / 10.7: |
Muddled Equilibria in Game Theory / 10.8: |
References |
Index |
Preface |
Revealed Preference / 1: |
Rationality? / 1.1: |
Modeling a Decision Problem / 1.2: |
Reason Is the Slave of the Passions / 1.3: |
Lessons from Aesop / 1.4: |