Preface |
Introduction |
Overview Paper / I: |
Descriptive, Normative, and Prescriptive Interactions in Decision Making / David E. Bell ; Howard Raiffa ; Amos Tversky1: |
Conceptions of Choice / II: |
Bounded Rationality, Ambiguity, and the Engineering of Choice / James G. March2: |
Rationality as Process and as Product of Thought / Herbert A. Simon3: |
Normative Theories of Decision Making Under Risk and Under Uncertainty / P. C. Fishburn4: |
Risky Choice Revisited / 5: |
Behavioral Decision Theory: Processes of Judgment and Choice / Hillel J. Einhorn ; Robin M. Hogarth6: |
Reply to Commentaries / 7: |
Response Mode, Framing, and Information-Processing Effects in Risk Assessment / Paul Slovic ; Baruch Fischhoff ; Sarah Lichtenstein8: |
Rational Choice and the Framing of Decisions / Daniel Kahneman9: |
Savage Revisited / Glenn Shafer10: |
Beliefs and Judgments about Uncertainties / III: |
Languages and Designs for Probability Judgment / 11: |
Updating Subjective Probability / Persi Diaconis ; Sandy L. Zabell12: |
Probability, Evidence, and Judgment / A. P. Dempster13: |
The Effects of Statistical Training on Thinking about Everyday Problems / Geoffrey T. Fong ; David H. Krantz ; Richard E. Nisbett14: |
Values and Utilities / IV: |
The Mind as a Consuming Organ / T. C. Schelling15: |
Disappointment in Decision Making Under Uncertainty / 16: |
Marginal Value and Intrinsic Risk Aversion / 17: |
Knowing What You Want: Measuring Labile Values / 18: |
Sources of Bias in Assessment Procedures for Utility Functions / John C. Hershey ; Howard C. Kunreuther ; Paul J. H. Schoemaker19: |
Simplicity in Decision Analysis: an Example and a Discussion / Ward Edwards ; Detlof von Winterfeldt ; David L. Moody20: |
Value-Focused Thinking and the Study of Values / Ralph L. Keeney21: |
Areas of Application / V: |
Behavior Under Uncertainty and Its Implications for Policy / Kenneth J. Arrow22: |
The Relevance of Quasi Rationality in Competitive Markets / Thomas Russell ; Richard Thaler23: |
How Senior Managers Think / Daniel J. Isenberg24: |
Problems in Producing Usable Knowledge for Implementing Liberating Alternatives / Chris Argyris25: |
On the Framing of Medical Decisions / Barbara J. McNeil ; Stephen G. Pauker26: |
Whether or not to Administer Amphotericin to an Immunosuppressed Patient with Hematologic Malignancy and Undiagnosed Fever / Jonathan E. Gottlieb27: |
The Effect of Private Attitudes on Public Policy: Prenatal Screening for Neural Tube Defects as a prototype / Susan P. Pauker28: |
Discussion Agenda for the Session on Medical Decision Making and Minutes of a Group Discussion on Clinical Decision Making / Harvey V. Fineberg29: |
Discussion rapporteur / Robert J. Quinn |
Index |