| List of Contributors |
| Preface |
| Introduction - Heuristics and Biases: Then and Now / Thomas Gilovich ; Dale Griffin |
| Theoretical and Empirical Extensions / Part 1.： |
| Representativeness and Availability / A.： |
| Extensional versus Intuitive Reasoning: The Conjunction Fallacy in Probability Judgment / Amos Tversky ; Daniel Kahneman1： |
| Representativeness Revisited: Attribute Substitution in Intuitive Judgment / Shane Frederick2： |
| How Alike Is It? versus How Likely Is It?: A Disjunction Fallacy in Probability Judgments / Maya Bar-Hillel ; Efrat Neter3： |
| Imagining Can Heighten or Lower the Perceived Likelihood of Contracting a Disease: The Mediating Effect of Ease of Imagery / Steven J. Sherman ; Robert B. Cialdini ; Donna F. Schwartzman ; Kim D. Reynolds4： |
| The Availability Heuristic Revisited: Ease of Recall and Content of Recall as Distinct Sources of Information / Norbert Schwarz ; Leigh Ann Vaughn5： |
| Anchoring, Contamination, and Compatibility / B.： |
| Incorporating the Irrelevant: Anchors in Judgments of Belief and Value / Gretchen B. Chapman ; Eric J. Johnson6： |
| Putting Adjustment Back in the Anchoring and Adjustment Heuristic / Nicholas Epley7： |
| Self-Anchoring in Conversation: Why Language Users Do Not Do What They "Should" / Boaz Keysar ; Dale J. Barr8： |
| Inferential Correction / Daniel T. Gilbert9： |
| Mental Contamination and the Debiasing Problem / Timothy D. Wilson ; David B. Centerbar ; Nancy Brekke10： |
| Sympathetic Magical Thinking: The Contagion and Similarity "Heuristics" / Paul Rozin ; Carol Nemeroff11： |
| Compatibility Effects in Judgment and Choice / Paul Slovic12： |
| Forecasting, Confidence, and Calibration / C.： |
| The Weighing of Evidence and the Determinants of Confidence / 13： |
| Inside the Planning Fallacy: The Causes and Consequences of Optimistic Time Predictions / Roger Buehler ; Michael Ross14： |
| Probability Judgment across Cultures / J. Frank Yates ; Ju-Whei Lee ; Winston R. Sieck ; Incheol Choi ; Paul C. Price15： |
| Durability Bias in Affective Forecasting / Elizabeth C. Pinel ; Stephen J. Blumberg ; Thalia P. Wheatley16： |
| Optimism / D.： |
| Resistance of Personal Risk Perceptions to Debiasing Interventions / Neil D. Weinstein ; William M. Klein17： |
| Ambiguity and Self-Evaluation: The Role of Idiosyncratic Trait Definitions in Self-Serving Assessments of Ability / David Dunning ; Judith A. Meyerowitz ; Amy D. Holzberg18： |
| When Predictions Fail: The Dilemma of Unrealistic Optimism / David A. Armor ; Shelley E. Taylor19： |
| Norms and Counterfactuals / E.： |
| Norm Theory: Comparing Reality to Its Alternatives / Dale T. Miller20： |
| Counterfactual Thought, Regret, and Superstition: How to Avoid Kicking Yourself / Brian R. Taylor21： |
| New Theoretical Directions / Part 2.： |
| Two Systems of Reasoning |
| The Affect Heuristic / Steven A. Sloman ; Melissa Finucane ; Ellen Peters ; Donald G. MacGregor22： |
| Individual Differences in Reasoning: Implications for the Rationality Debate? / Keith E. Stanovich ; Richard F. West24： |
| Support Theory |
| Support Theory: A Nonextensional Representation of Subjective Probability / Derek J. Koehler25： |
| Unpacking, Repacking, and Anchoring: Advances in Support Theory / Yuval Rottenstreich26： |
| Remarks on Support Theory: Recent Advances and Future Directions / Lyle A. Brenner27： |
| Alternative Perspectives on Heuristics |
| The Use of Statistical Heuristics in Everyday Inductive Reasoning / Richard E. Nisbett ; David H. Krantz ; Christopher Jepson ; Ziva Kunda28： |
| Feelings as Information: Moods Influence Judgments and Processing Strategies / 29： |
| Automated Choice Heuristics / 30： |
| How Good Are Fast and Frugal Heuristics? / Gerd Gigerenzer ; Jean Czerlinski ; Laura Martignon31： |
| Intuitive Politicians, Theologians, and Prosecutors: Exploring the Empirical Implications of Deviant Functionalist Metaphors / Philip E. Tetlock32： |
| Real-World Applications / Part 3.： |
| Everyday Judgment and Behavior |
| The Hot Hand in Basketball: on the Misperception of Random Sequences / Robert Vallone33： |
| Like Goes with Like: The Role of Representativeness in Erroneous and Pseudo-Scientific Beliefs / Kenneth Savitsky34： |
| When Less Is More: Counterfactual Thinking and Satisfaction among Olympic Medalists / Victoria Husted Medvec ; Scott F. Madey35： |
| Understanding Misunderstanding: Social Psychological Perspectives / Emily Pronin ; Carolyn Puccio ; Lee Ross36： |
| Expert Judgment |
| Assessing Uncertainty in Physical Constants / Max Henrion ; Baruch Fischhoff37： |
| Do Analysts Overreact? / Werner F.M. De Bondt ; Richard H. Thaler38： |
| The Calibration of Expert Judgment: Heuristics and Biases Beyond the Laboratory / Lyle Brenner39： |
| Clinical versus Actuarial Judgment / Robyn M. Dawes ; David Faust ; Paul E. Meehl40： |
| Heuristics and Biases in Application / 41： |
| Theory-Driven Reasoning about Plausible Pasts and Probable Futures in World Politics / 42： |
| References |
| Index |
| Notes on contributors |
| List of abbreviations |
| The framework / Part I： |
| An introduction to the issues / Sheldon Leader |
| The linkages between project finance and sustainable development / Annie Dufey ; Maryanne Grieg-Gran |
| Project finance and the relevant human rights / Ozgur Can Kahale |
| Applying international environmental principles to project-financed transnational investment agreements / David Ong |
| Special topics / Part II： |
| Risk management, project finance and rights-based development |
| Freezing the balancing act? Project finance, legal tools to manage regulatory risk, and sustainable development / Lorenzo Cotula |
| Human rights impact assessments and project finance / Tamara Wiher Fernandez |
| Project finance investments and political risk: an empirical investigation / Claudia Girardone ; Stuart Snaith |
| Insurance as a risk management tool: a mitigating or aggravating factor? / Rasmiya Kazimova |
| Irreparable damage, project finance and access to remedies by third parties / Judith Schonsteiner |
| Case studies / Part III： |
| The implications of the Chad-Cameroon and Sakhalin transnational investment agreements for the application of international environmental principles |
| Project finance arrangements for the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan project: human rights and sustainable development implications |
| The Orion and CMB pulp plants in Uruguay / Diana Morales |
| The Newmont and Anglo Gold mining projects / Nil Ashie Kotey ; Poku Adusei |
| Overview and recommendations |
| List of Contributors |
| Preface |
| Introduction - Heuristics and Biases: Then and Now / Thomas Gilovich ; Dale Griffin |
図書
